Beyond the Cusp
October 4, 2015
Ruins and Remains of Peace Process After General Assembly
The speeches given at the General Assembly are said, recorded and hashed out in the press with Abbas having the biggest implications while Netanyahu used some serious drama unveiling the reality and truth behind the Obama surrender to Iran on their nuclear drive to weapons status. The Iranian aim is not just atomic bombs but thermonuclear hydrogen bombs with all the sophistication of Russia, China or the United States. Netanyahu then followed his brilliance with a complete and worthless ending addressing the moribund peace process which had already been nullified by Abbas in his speech. Abbas basically felt secure enough with the backing of the United Nations, European Union and the United States, European Union plus numerous other nations, NGOs, and political commentators backing his claims to at the very least being gifted all of the lands beyond the Green Line including all of the Temple Mount, the Old City of Jerusalem and even possibly all of Jerusalem should he demand such from an angry world fed up with the entire process and willing to demand every concession and then some from Israel knowing that the Arabs are immovable in their claims and refuse to reason or compromise on any items and only to demand more. So, after these diatribes and commentaries by two diametrically opposed views, what will be the outcome as well as what should be the outcome as the two are not necessarily the same.
Let us look at Mahmoud Abbas and his supposedly bombshell announcement that the Palestinian Authority and Fatah and any other entity he was the leader of would no longer recognize the Oslo Accords. Abbas tied to this a demand that the United Nations and all of its member states immediately recognize Palestine and to even leave the boundaries as a fluid, ephemeral and inconclusive, undefined, inexact, set line open to further clarifications in the future but at a minimum set along the Green Line and all of Eastern Jerusalem including the Temple Mount and the Kotel (Western Wall and its plaza) over which they would be permitted to forcefully evict every last Jew or genocidally slaughter them in the process of purifying the Islamic lands as commanded by Allah. Mahmoud Abbas has taken a chance by separating himself and the proposed forces waging a terror war with genocidal expectations from their agreement to recognize a change from the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) into the respectable Palestinian Authority and the PLO transformed into a political entity known as the Fatah Party. By casting off the Oslo Accords there now does not exist such an entity as the Palestinian Authority, the Fatah Party is now remerged with the al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades and the PLO terrorist force. Abbas is betting everything right down to the kitchen sink that the world will no longer require the so-called Arab Palestinian entities under any name to hold viable claims against Israel for the Jewish State to provide them with their own lands and all other needs such as water, electricity and natural gas as well as anything else which proves to be necessary as there will be only Palestine and the Jewish State of Israel will have been subsumed.
Needless to point out that the current deficit amount by the Palestinian Authority and all parties to that body already owe in excess of $15.2 million in unpaid electric bills over at least 10 years, part of an all-consuming Palestinian power debt of $430 million that is at the core of the last official breakdown which was resolved by increasing the rates paid by Israeli companies and though not excusing the Arab debt, ameliorating the slow bleeding financially of the Israeli electric companies. There exist similar debts for water and numerous other commodities as well as taxes. Unfortunately the world has always demanded that Israel simply suck it up and absorb this debt repeatedly ever since the existence of Arabs claiming rightful ownership of lands in the heartland of ancient Israel despite most of the land owners being recipients of grants from the Jordanian government when they illegally occupied the land west of the Jordan River. This situation initially came about during the Arab War to Annihilate the nascent State of Israel between 1948 and the Six Day War in June of 1967. The Jordanian capture and annexations, recognized solely by Pakistan and Britain, occupied most all of Judea and much of Samaria as well as a piece of Benjamin and all of the Old City in Eastern Jerusalem. This occupation by Jordan, as a result of the 1948-9 War of Annihilation which placed a half dozen armies and more at the Israeli borders in all directions, piled into Israel on its first day of existence swearing to annihilate ever last single Jews and do so within a few days, a week at most. After two years of war and the loss of around one to two percent of their entire population, the Jews were finally granted a peace, or at least an arbitration which still left the State of Israel technically at war with a number of her neighbors, especially after the Arabs decided to implement the Khartoum Resolutions after a meeting in Khartoum by the Arab League. This meeting led to the infamous “three no’s” which were 1) no peace with Israel, 2) no recognition of Israel and 3) no negotiations with Israel. Netanyahu used the podium well including a prolonged forty-five seconds of complete and total silence and a stern look, which some claim can boil or freeze water pending Netanyahu’s intentions, to represent the lack of rejection of the path Iran has had cleared for them to attain nuclear standing after ten to fifteen years and potentially destroy far more than Israel and the United States as they are far more likely to take upon themselves the destruction of the Saudi Arabian oil fields and whatever other actions they may find to serve their interests before taking on the United States or Israel.
In the interim, Israel needs to defend herself and the Jewish People from slanderous anti-Semitism, anti-Israelism and anti-Zionism, what we think should be made into the three anti’s which every school child needs to be educated where that path leads once a people begin to tolerate even the slightest intolerance. Former Rabbi to the United Kingdom Rabbi Sachs wrote an article titled The hate that starts with Jews never ends there where he discussed the spread of anti-Semitism despite a society which prides themselves on their tolerance, the Europeans. In another more recent article by Giulio Meotti titled Anti-Semitism devours Europe he described a number of anti-Semitic acts originating, amongst other places, in Denmark from which I would like to quote one of his finds as he reports,
“Something is rotten in the state of Norway, as Marcello of Shakespeare’s Hamlet would have put it.
A few days ago an image was imprinted as a background on a credit card issued by Dnb Bank, the largest financial institution in the country. You see a Jew with a hooked nose, a yarmulke on his head, a prayer shawl and a cascade of gold coins.”
He concluded this article noting that the spread of anti-Semitism in Europe was akin to “comparing it to the dog rage syndrome or mad cow disease.”
Both of these articles speak of a vile hatred which overtook Germany leading into World War II and has been at the center of so numerous numbers of examples it is beyond accuracy to define any actual cause for the origin of such hatred. The hate of the Jews traced back even beyond those tales often used when making every knight “bloodied” before entering into battle in the Holy Lands by slaughtering the Jews in a stretch of villages which often was referred to as a pogrom against the Jews and such upticks in anti-Semitism almost invariably became a part of Jewish history, a long and tortuous history. The Bible, in the Old Testament, spoke of the origins of the hatreds to any morality, something the Jews had always been at the forefront fighting to defend righteousness and refute all the other false claims of idolatry and multi-deistic religions. Many charismatic leaders using deceit mixed with charms expounded deviant behavior but if one could only reveal the dark underbelly and shine the light of truth on such cults and reveal the hatreds which lay under the same rocks festering and idolatry and often human sacrifice, particularly child sacrifice, the humanity of Hashem and the truths demanded moral and ethical behavior such as equality and nobility of the individual, things not tolerated in the hedonistic practices of the false religious cults. The origins of anti-Semitism began as a defense against the abolition of idolatry, multi-deistic faiths and the large clerical corps of priesthoods devoted to their own enrichment feeling the challenge which Judaism and faith in Hashem placed their hierarchal structured societies and lives of privilege. The reasoning has changed but the core of moral behavior and a supreme creator with all men created equal in worth, potential and love from Hashem are still seen to be threatening to many modern cultural hierarchies and power structures.
Both of these articles speak of a vile hatred which overtook Germany leading into World War II and has been at the center of so numerous numbers of examples it is beyond accuracy to define any actual cause for the origin of such hatred. The hate of the Jews traced back even beyond those tales often used when making every knight “bloodied” before entering into battle in the Holy Lands by slaughtering the Jews in a stretch of villages which often was referred to as a pogrom against the Jews and such upticks in anti-Semitism almost invariably became a part of Jewish history, a long and tortuous history. The Bible, in the Old Testament, spoke of the origins of the hatreds to any morality, something the Jews had always been at the forefront fighting to defend righteousness and refute all the other false claims of idolatry and multi-deistic religions. Many charismatic leaders using deceit mixed with charms expounded deviant behavior but if one could only reveal the dark underbelly and shine the light of truth on such cults and reveal the hatreds which lay under the same rocks festering and idolatry and often human sacrifice, particularly child sacrifice, the humanity of Hashem and the truths demanded moral and ethical behavior such as equality and nobility of the individual, things not tolerated in the hedonistic practices of the false religious cults. The origins of anti-Semitism began as a defense against the abolition of idolatry, multi-deistic faiths and the large clerical corps of priesthoods devoted to their own enrichment feeling the challenge which Judaism and faith in Hashem placed their hierarchal structured societies and lives of privilege. The reasoning has changed but the core of moral behavior and a supreme creator with all men created equal in worth, potential and love from Hashem are still seen to be threatening to many modern cultural hierarchies and power structures.
Europe will have chosen where they shall stand with the coming invasion of their culture, already almost devoid of faith their traditional faith, replacing it with the doctrine of the human as the supreme being, about to be overrun by Islamic refugees whose faith is rising and will swell further in the furtive but spiritually barren slate before them in Europe. Behind these refugees in a generation or possibly immediately come the demands of Islam imposed through Sharia. The anti-Semitism coupled as it already is with anti-Zionism and anti-Israelism will only grow overrunning any opposition. European Jews will be fortunate to be free from Europe as the change will occur almost overnight. In the United States, and potentially Canada afterwards, this transition will take a while longer because of distance and a great deal of angry waters preventing any hordes of refugee entering its borders, but the change will come. The sole hope for Judeo-Christian ethics will be dependent on a reformation of Islam, a remote possibility at best. Israel will thus be the last and only stand for the Old testament and the remnants who follow the New Testament, the Christians will be residing possibly in South America and Southern Africa and potentially carving a nation out of the southern central states along the Mississippi River, Missouri River, Ohio River and between the Rocky Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains but excluded from the great lakes region. That will be the remnant and with any good fortune and the help of Hashem these areas may remain free with a world otherwise ruled by Islam. Some Christians have already slowly gravitated to support of Israel and the Jews and these Christians will be the leaders of the remnants of Christianity which by necessity will ally with Israel. Those who refuse will likely be lost in a sea of green and black. That will be the fate of those opposing Israel and their worship of Hashem and the keepers of the original Covenant and the Commandments. It is not promising, but if one knows the situation they face and makes plans accordingly, they may find their salvation; the rest will either surrender their will to Islam or die believing that mankind is the true master of their fate and will reap exactly that fate.
Beyond the Cusp
October 3, 2015
October 2, 2015
A Gauntlet Thrown at the United States Feet
Reportedly a Russian General strode into the United States Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq and demanded to speak with somebody responsible for military actions and handed the officer a letter after which some curt words were exchanged and the Russian left without further explanation. It has been further reported that there has been a Russian demand that the United States cease all air activity and cease and desist any sorties in the greater Syrian theater or risk a confrontation with Russian aircraft who have orders to defend against United States interference, or so it appears was the implication. Other rumored reports claim that the Russian bombing runs today were concentrated on the areas occupied not by the Islamic State but on the Syrian “rebels” which were trained and working with the United States. This we believe is somewhat a bit of hyperbole as the latest reports claimed that the United States efforts had produced less than two dozen fighters after two years and countless investment in time, money and equipment and that does not sound like anything that would require more than one airstrike. The likelihood is that the Russians were hitting the rebels who oppose Bashir al-Assad which would include potential strikes on United States trained fighters, especially with reports from this past week that they were trading much of their United States provided aid in exchange for free passage through other rebel groups areas in order to avoid a fight which they would likely have lost. So, with the United States continuing to fly sorties, though how few is uncertain, and the Russians presumably threatening to protect Assad and his Alawites and their coastal region from United States air attacks, the question is would the United States attack Assad troops and position or simply contain their strikes to Islamic State positions. Another problem might become a point of contention is if the United States aircraft on missions necessarily cross over Assad’s regions would the Russians attempt to down the United States flights and if such should happen, what would be the reaction from the White House and the Congress.
There are too many questions and such complete uncertainty with far too few sources of information to base any hypotheses upon with any degree of accuracy; but why not just fly off the handle and take a stab at this situation and see what we produce and judge it later down the road. Apparently the Pentagon plans to continue with their missions as assigned and ignore the Russian threats probably hoping that it was just so much bluster and sabre rattling. Putin probably feels quite certain that should he push hard enough that President Obama would back down just as he did with the red line fiasco with Assad and the use of chemical weapons which President Putin saved Obama’s bacon as he stewed in pools of indecision and slow and repeated retreats. This is what Putin is basing his boldness upon and has no reason, from the track record which President Obama has compiled, to think differently. The problem is with the Iran deal beginning to tarnish already under the microscope of public opinion, President Obama may be seeking some strong armed acts which he can rebuild some form of foreign policy and military prowess legacy. A desperate man with the clock running out might prove too irrational and unpredictable for anybody to make a safe bet on what actions might be now considered worth the risk. When President Jimmy Carter found himself looking weak he attempted a rescue of the hostages held by Iran and the mission ended in tragedy and dead United States troops including Special Forces and Navy Seals if I remember correctly. A desperate Administration still seeking an uncontested foreign policy legacy which has hung its final shot on degrading the Islamic State and forcing regime change in Syria necessarily removing Bashir al-Assad from being in contention in that process. The Iranians, Hezballah and now Russia have staked their claim to Syria and restoring al-Assad to power and then holding a Syrian election where al-Assad will win reelection by sufficient margin to remove any doubt to his authenticity no matter how unverified the election numbers might be. The Russians have made one thing very clear, despite the overt efforts of the Obama White House’s demands for Assad to be removed from power and not permitted to run in any new elections, as the United States has Assad tried and convicted for his abuses of the men and women who had remained in Syria living in rebel occupied areas and presumed to have joined or be supporting the rebels even if all they were doing was protecting their home and limit their losses, just attempting to survive and not actually backing either side, the two sides will continue to butt heads until President Obama realizes the error of his ways, or so Putin is adamant. The United States does not actually have a dog in this fight while the Russians most definitely have their own pet dog in the fray, Bashir al-Assad, along with Hezballah and Iran, and a potential route towards gaining control over Iraq and Europe and the land bridges between them. The Iranians basically told the world what was the reason and against whom his forces are fighting for and this has been further validated through their actions. The enemy in Syria are the best training facilities built by the Soviet Union back before their break-down and Assad accepted the assistance from the many different sides thus making himself largely responding to the demands and instruction of Russian forces assisting and supplying the tools required to draw Israel into the fight.
This multiple fractioned war has coalitions which can be instructive as to who sides with whom and who are the actual players. The initial two sides have all but been destroyed or subsumed by their original parent groups. The Syrian forces of Bashir al-Assad have reacted strongly but with lesser and older weapons than has the Islamic State. The forces fighting with al-Assad currently are the remainder of his military who have stood by his side and watched their power and nation be laid waste and been unable to prevent this horror story. The immediate allies for al-Assad have been Hezballah and originally Iran who are the actual puppet masters working the marionettes. Their final benefactor, forced by the precarious situation faced by Assad and his allies as they had been defeated across the boards, the Russians have jumped into the fray with both feet betting that the United States will accept Russians determining the end results in Syria or be forced to face the Islamic State with little if any assistance from the remaining forces in Iraq as well as Syria using almost universally United States fighting men and women on the ground. The opposition breaks into three distinct groups, the social-Marxists consisting of the leftist forces whose desire was to restructure Syria into a model leftist socialist state. Then there were the Islamist supremacy groups which include all the various factions of al-Qaeda to the Muslim Brotherhood fighting against al-Assad in a semi-symbiotic relationship with the social-Marxists. Then there is the breakaway force which sees itself as the sole preordained leader of all Sunni and eventually all Muslim forces under their self-proclaimed Caliphate. That is the most basic description of the breakdown of the forces before the Russians responded to the sad state of the Alawite troops losses which threatened complete bombing began to systematically strike at the anti-al-Assad forces including the rebels trained by the United States. There are also the forces known as the Islamic State which appear to be a problem to everybody not an active subscriber to their radical agenda who claim they are the core of the new Caliphate. The end result is this self-proclaimed Caliph and his forces will continue to grow unless somebody is forced into committing troops to prevent such advances. From appearances President Obama had been attempting to prevent any large contingent to coalesce around the United States enemies, as well as to force al-Assad from power, without committing any United States ground troops, a tactic which has died gloriously just as predicted and allowed, if not forced, the Russians to appear. This forced Russia to declare their interests and willingness to enforce their side by any and all means required. This will settle the situation in favor of al-Assad by default. The problem is this may not go far enough to eradicate the Islamic State which could surrender their Syrian holdings rather than contend with the Russian troops and simply continue their expansions through Iraq and potentially further throughout the region.
The big, and we mean really big, question is what steps if any will the United States take from the Russian demands they leave the area. Will President Obama press a confrontation and how will he react when any actions, especially sorties flown by United States Air Force and Navy pilots are challenged over Syrian air space and warned to retreat and never return as their assistance is not required nor desired. Will President Obama press the situation to its breaking point of the Russians shooting down an American aviator and taking the pilot prisoner which could happen today of that is the way the cards are being laid out on the table. This current situation with the direct confrontation being pressed and the game of chicken and who will blink first begins. If the glares never blink the other result is a war between Russia and the United States and all the potential ramifications of such a conflict come into play. Our bet is it will get extremely tense and at the last minute some facilitation will be found or Putin will blink first as President Obama is not calling the shots for the United States or he would have turned and run from the first threats as he has done every time he has been challenged. This situation is as serious as or more so than has been played in the media and the media may try to prevent things from boiling over but they will find that beyond their control or even influence. The media can only exacerbate the problem and send things spinning out of control even faster. That is what they must avoid at all costs.
Beyond the Cusp